Are Success Odds Always Diminishing?

Stuart Dren

Active Member
This wasn't specifically for trade or self publishing, so I tossed it in the misc bucket.

Given the various market/reader progressions and seemingly growing supply of fiction, do you feel that one's personal chances at moderate success drop, even slightly, on a yearly basis? Or do you think the broad strokes are largely peripheral as far as timing goes?

I'm trying to imagine what this will look like in a decade.

Any and all thoughts welcome.
 
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